So is the crowd right? Or at least the crowd I'm in?
Well, didn't Goldman tout China to 5300? And how about CAT. Wasn't that number the exposed to home construction--and what happened to that name?
How about option expiration on Friday? Why couldn't they pin DE to 50? Wasn't there something in it for them, if they could? Instead, buyers took the name.
But maybe you are a cynic. So make some calls. Call the dealers. See what they had to say, because I already did. Ask them if sales have picked up. The response I got back was, "We never lost any."
Ooohhh. So much for lost business from the ethanol hype! Wait--Isn't that the lame reason used here to sell the stock? Well--that should get press. Because lame reasons do!
But since when do people on Wall Street do research. Most of them are lazy. Oh--that reminds me. Remember my La-Z-Boy call?
I suppose I should put out cuter pictures. Maybe then, Wall Street will pass it around. Because if you have a nose for good old fashioned research, Wall Street doesn't care.
They only want "good information" when they know the only risk to the information is if they get caught!
And speaking of poor information. Didn't we hear Meredith Whitney warning us, lamely again, about the credit contraction? Didn't that get a lot of press?
Where was the antidote to that?
It was right here:
US Economics/Strategy Weekly - Joseph LaVorgna: The sharp declines in both consumer credit and bank lending have caused investors to worry about the sustainability of economic recovery. However, negative credit growth does not need to weigh on domestic demand—we would argue that if the pace of de-leveraging slows, domestic demand growth will rebound even if credit growth is negative. It is the change in the flow rather than the stock of credit that is important for domestic demand growth, which is why lending tends to be a lagging indicator of economic activity. The upshot is that today’s early stage economic recovery is likely to gain traction going forward, aided by unprecedented monetary stimulus and the need for businesses to both rebuild inventories and replace a depleted capital stock. - We are projecting the economy to grow at a 3.9% rate over the next four quarters. While this should be sufficient to meaningfully improve the employment situation and ultimately push the Fed into tightening monetary policy, it is actually on the soft side compared to the early stages of previous economic recoveries, which typically average about 6.5%. In the accompanying charts, we analyze the various underpinnings of our medium-term economic forecast.
Trading Focus Nov 23, 09 SA