Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Morning news have traders hitting the bids

Futures are down across the board this morning, while the only safe haven, gold is up. Buy why shouldn't they? Look what markets have to face.

European banks are worse than insolvent:

Stephen Jen, currency chief at Morgan Stanley, said Eastern Europe has borrowed $1.7 trillion abroad, much on short-term maturities. It must repay – or roll over – $400bn this year, equal to a third of the region's GDP. Good luck. The credit window has slammed shut.

Not even Russia can easily cover the $500bn dollar debts of its oligarchs while oil remains near $33 a barrel. The budget is based on Urals crude at $95. Russia has bled 36pc of its foreign reserves since August defending the rouble.

"This is the largest run on a currency in history," said Mr Jen.

In Poland, 60pc of mortgages are in Swiss francs. The zloty has just halved against the franc. Hungary, the Balkans, the Baltics, and Ukraine are all suffering variants of this story. As an act of collective folly – by lenders and borrowers – it matches America's sub-prime debacle. There is a crucial difference, however. European banks are on the hook for both. US banks are not.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/4623525/Failure-to-save-East-Europe-will-lead-to-worldwide-meltdown.html

It's so bad that the IMF is going to go hat in hand looking for more money!

IMF may need to "print money" as crisis spreads

The Fund is already close to committing a quarter of its $200bn (£130bn) reserve chest, with a loans to Iceland ($2bn), Ukraine ($16.5bn), and talks underway with Pakistan ($14.5bn), Hungary ($10bn), as well as Belarus and Serbia.

Neil Schering, emerging market strategist at Capital Economics, said the IMF's work in the great arc of countries from the Baltic states to Turkey is only just beginning.

"When you tot up the countries across the region with external funding needs, you get to $500bn or $600bn very quickly, and that blows the IMF out of the water. The Fund may soon have to start calling on the West for additional funds," he said.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/3269669/IMF-may-need-to-print-money-as-crisis-spreads.html

But you can't even get money in Kansas. They've suspended their tax refunds!

- Income tax refunds and state employee paychecks could be late after Republican leaders and the Democratic governor clashed Monday over how to solve a cash-flow problem
http://www.kansas.com/735/story/701750.html

Monday, this news was just a feeder on The Drudge Report. Today, it's the headline on the top of the page. Which means that even Drudge is getting a handle on the uprising of the proletariat!
http://www.drudgereport.com/

On Wall Street, hedge funds can hardly get financing.

Brokerage firms are reducing financing and other services to hundreds of hedge funds, in a move that could accelerate the shakeout among these heavy-hitting investors.

Under financial pressure, securities firms are dividing their hedge-fund clients into lists of those they consider best able to weather the financial turmoil and those they're less sure of. The result is that more funds may have to merge, find other financing at higher cost or close.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123483417670296081.html?mod=testMod#articleTabs%3Darticle

On Main Street, customers still hardly can get auto financing, and now GM and Chrysler are now on bankruptcy's door.

Troubled U.S. auto makers and union representatives dug in late Monday for all-night cost-cutting negotiations as the government advanced its point person on auto restructuring, a former investment banker with a record for demanding harsh concessions from manufacturers, unions and investors alike.

General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC are required to submit recovery plans to the government on Tuesday as part of their agreement to receive billions of dollars in federal loans. As the government's auto-industry task force began to take shape ahead of the deadline, President Barack Obama's administration appeared to be turning up the pressure on GM and Chrysler to carry out tough restructuring measures, possibly through the use of the bankruptcy court.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123483084725295657.html?mod=testMod

They'll soon join Trump Entertainment who just went into bankruptcy for the third time!

And now CNBC viewers are finally waking up to Wayne Huizenga, warning viewers of the commercial real estate collapse that is already happening that no one admits is!

They can't get financing either!

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