Saturday, February 21, 2009

Global geo-political dislocation is now on deck

It's finally gotten the attention of the WSJ. Look what's going on in Mexico.

Much as Pakistan is fighting for survival against Islamic radicals, Mexico is waging a do-or-die battle with the world's most powerful drug cartels. Last year, some 6,000 people died in drug-related violence here, more than twice the number killed the previous year. The dead included several dozen who were beheaded, a chilling echo of the scare tactics used by Islamic radicals. Mexican drug gangs even have an unofficial religion: They worship La Santa Muerte, a Mexican version of the Grim Reaper.

In growing parts of the country, drug gangs now extort businesses, setting up a parallel tax system that threatens the government monopoly on raising tax money. In Ciudad Juarez, just across the border from El Paso, Texas, handwritten signs pasted on schools warned teachers to hand over their Christmas bonuses or die. A General Motors distributorship at a midsize Mexican city was extorted for months at a time, according to a high-ranking Mexican official...

"We are at war," says Aldo Fasci, a good-looking lawyer who is the top police official for Nuevo Leon state, where Monterrey is the capital. "The gangs have taken over the border, our highways and our cops. And now, with these protests, they are trying to take over our cities.

Anyone remember this?

Back in February 2006, LEAP/E2020 estimated that the global systemic crisis would unfold in 4 main structural phases: trigger, acceleration, impact and decanting phases. This process enabled us to properly anticipate events until now. However our team has now come to the conclusion that, due to the global leaders’ incapacity to fully realise the scope of the ongoing crisis (made obvious by their determination to cure the consequences rather than the causes of this crisis), the global systemic crisis will enter a fifth phase in the fourth quarter of 2009, a phase of global geopolitical dislocation.

According to LEAP/E2020, this new stage of the crisis will be shaped by two major processes happening in two parallel sequences:

A. Two major processes:
1. Disappearance of the financial base (Dollar & Debt) all over the world
2. Fragmentation of the interests of the global system’s big players and blocks

B. Two parallel sequences:
1. Quick disintegration of the current international system altogether
2. Strategic dislocation of big global players.!-4th-quarter-2009-Beginning-of-Phase-5-of-the-global-systemic-crisis-phase-of-global-geopolitical_a2805.html?PHPSESSID=fb91646d989d0d92df9c733cd49496d2

Anyone take a look at the streets in Ireland lately? Isn't that the start of civil unrest?

So far, in the US, our idea of protesting is putting video's on of commentators rantings, and jokes about the bail-out from late night television.

Maybe Ireland is too far away, but the drug problems and killings in Mexico are happening at our borders.

CIUDAD JUAREZ, Mexico, Feb. 20 (UPI) -- A chief of police for Mexico's most notoriously violent Ciudad Juarez stepped down Friday amid ongoing threats against his life.

Roberto Orduna stepped down after the latest bout of violence left a fellow policeman dead, El Universal reported. Drug gang leaders in the city threatened to kill a police officer every day until Orduna stepped down.

Ciudad Juarez has a population over a million, and is across the Rio Grande from El Paso, Texas, a city of 700,000.

At our borders.

Global geo-political dislocation is already starting.


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