Sunday, November 8, 2009

How the other half lives


Thousands of people  lined up for H1N1 flu shots at the Santa Clara County Fairgrounds, waiting four to six hours for their shot.

Reporters on the scene said no-one in line worked for Goldman Sachs.

7 comments:

  1. I wouldn't want those scam shots. Even the creators of the swine flu vaccine didn't want to take it.

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  2. I don't get it, this is just another flu that people get. You get sick and feel like shit for a day or two but then you get better. If you are really young or old and get it then tough shit and welcome to life.

    I think the drug companies just wanted to make a crap load of money off this!

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  3. Palmoni...since the floorless convert for the columbian company isn't going to happen....the comp that shorted and covered...i assume we'll never see the 4's again...and 8's are here to stay?

    it trades so thin that unless someone sells at anything below 8 it really should never get below that number right/?

    am i missing something/?

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  4. No surprise there. The play book is to create a pandemic scare once in awhile and everybody lines up to get scam shots. Then they become subservient and the next time another scare happens, they line up again. No thinking needed.

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  5. Palmoni,

    what are your thoughts on GCI , MGM, LIZ, and CNO going forward?

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  6. That seems right to me also...

    I think all those names are going higher...we just had a good correction in small caps, and now it looks like they are trying to rotate in the bigger names..but they'll pick these up

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  7. On MGM--Goldman had this to say this morning:

    We are raising our MGM estimates following the 3Q beat ($0.01 vs. our $(0.05) estimate). Trends came in
    somewhat better than expected, so we are building in some improvement over our previous estimates. Our
    new EPS estimates for 2009-2011 are $(0.24), $(0.30), and $(0.08), respectively, versus our previous
    estimates of $(0.29), $(0.50), and $(0.26). Our 2010 quarterly estimates are $(0.09), $(0.08), $(0.06), and
    $(0.07) versus our previous estimates of $(0.16), $(0.13), $(0.12), and $(0.09). Our core Las Vegas EBITDA
    estimates are going up 1% per year compared to our previous estimates. We also increased our Macau
    operating income estimates (to $75 mn for 2010 from $18 mn previously) after the property did $24 mn in 3Q
    operating income (MGM’s share) versus negative income on that line for the past three quarters.
    -----

    Why that's important is because GS has been exceedingly bearish onthe casinos and has only been dragged kicking and screaming in that camp

    couple that with the $4 dividend from WYNN, the big raise coming by LVS --close to $3.9 billion in Macau--and you have a better outlook then the bears envisioned

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